Thursday, July 9, 2020

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Blunder in the Himalayas

Behind the incident is India’s drooling tail-wagging relationship with the US and anti-China statements on many issues especially CPEC. In the CPEC context India has talked of its ambitions in Azad Kashmir (the part with Pakistan) and Pakistan’s northern Gilgit-Baltistan area. India has also steadily stepped up its cease fire violations along the Line of Control between India and Pakistan. No doubt China took note of India’s attitude as it has a Line of Actual Control with India and its own claim line with an agreement not to change status quo in the area.

Sparring in the Himalayas

Stepping back from the immediate situation it is clear that India’s unilateral action in August last year to change the status of Jammu and Kashmir and Ladakh led to reverberations beyond the India-Pakistan situation because the disputed status of Kashmir has been endorsed in many UN Resolutions. If India thought that by its blatant step it had resolved the Kashmir issue in its favor, then it miscalculated seriously as is evident from the reaction in Kashmir and the brutality unleashed on the Kashmiris including steps to change the demographic reality. The Kashmir situation is not resolved and Indian actions on the LOC and elsewhere will have consequences. Apparently China has not accepted the Indian action to bring Ladakh under New Delhi’s control and India has exacerbated the situation by irresponsible statements about its claim to Azad Kashmir and Gilgit Baltistan in Pakistan.

INDIA TODAY

What has been done to Kashmir and the atrocities and repression being committed there is being seen by the world. The brutality with which protests are being put down by Indian police is also being condemned widely. The long term repercussions for India is something that Indians need to judge for themselves. They should also see what impact this is having on their police and security forces--though this is not something new.

The Road to be Taken

there is no doubt that Pakistan is doing well with foreign policy the same cannot be said for governance, economic and political stability. The Prime Minister seems to understand the plight of the people as they face inflation and food insecurity but the problem is that the road to fiscal stabilization is studded with economic hardship at least through 2020

CPEC GETS A SHOT IN THE ARM

The CPEC Authority would be empowered to make decisions about CPEC projects all over the country, overriding the authority of the provincial governments. In the past Chinese officials have repeatedly complained about bureaucratic red tape in Pakistan stalling progress of CPEC projects. The creation of the CPEC authority will act as a one-window operation to avoid red tape... Islamabad has a very strong incentive to signal Beijing that it's still committed to CPEC and what better can be to announce two new measures on CPEC that benefit CPEC in a very big way.

CPEC debt trap — fiction or reality?

By Hasaan Khawar Alarm bells are ringing! Pakistan’s public debt is piling up, with the external debt now touching $100 billion and the public debt-to-GDP ratio...

Night of the long knives

By Arif Nizami Another first by Khan The sacking of Asad Umar as finance minister Thursday morning and later in the evening a few key ministers’...

Pakistan’s Malaysia Pivot Is Promising

Spearhead Analysis – 10.04.2019 By Fatima Ayub Research Analyst, Spearhead Research When Pakistan’s Prime Minister Imran Khan last met Malaysian Prime Minister Mahathir Mohamad, praise for each other’s leadership and...

Pakistan- Iran- India in the regional framework

Spearhead Analysis – 27.03.2019 By Hira A. Shafi Senior Research Analyst, Spearhead Research Pakistan- Iran ties witnessed a glitch when a suicide attack led to the killings of 27...

US in the South Asian arena

Spearhead Analysis – 25.03.2019 By Hira A. Shafi Senior Research Analyst, Spearhead Research Recently, the Indian Foreign Secretary Vijay Gokhale completed his three- day visit to US. Vijay Gokhale...